My recent ideas of free-will/predeterminism. Options

[zhenka11230]

Our wills are prone to influence by external factors, be it parents or culture or just experiences, as is clearly evident through psychology and other sciences. But is free will a hopeful thought or reality? Is there at least a fraction of choice that can be genuinely called free will or is everything predetermined?

Now i do not deny that the process of decision making takes place and that we are in fact in control of our bodies, at least to some extent. Just the fact that i am writing this seemingly proves this but can the fact that i can decide and plan(as allowed by my frontal lobes) constitute for the notion of free will?

I propose the following thought experiment. Imagine a reality, a copy of this one, an alter reality which came into existence just now. Before now, it was one with this reality but now there is a copy. Now imagine that the two realities exist independent of each other with no causal relationship happening between the two. Now the question is - is the alter reality ever going to be different from this one or is it going to be identical? If it stays identical then everything is in fact predetermined, if not, then can we say that free will does exist to some extent?

It is possible that it will remain identical, because even though we do seem to have an ability to think, plan and decide, whose to say that it is not determined completely by outside factors and our experiences. Perhaps, given the same circumstances, we would decide identically, every time, resulting in an alter reality which would be identical.

Now if the alter reality does in fact diverge and become different, at least to some extent, then another philosophical question arises - what made it change? Why, given the same circumstances, a difference emerged? If the reason for the change is a simple random accident, of perhaps quantum level, then can we still say that we have free will? I think not, because with the quantum accident, the circumstances would change, which would lead the person to come up to a different decision and free will could not be clearly distinguished from predeterminism of circumstances. For free will to be clearly proven, we would need an alter reality whose circumstances remain the same.

I will argue that it is very hard to imagine a reality with identical circumstances and yet people coming to different decisions. But does it make sense to say that everything is predetermined? I think determined is a better word because decision process does in fact take place and no one knows or can predict the decisions of people due to butterfly effect, and yet i think people would come up to the same decision every time given the same circumstances.

Let us assume now that the copy of this reality would in fact diverge, yet the circumstances would not change(like quantum mechanics variations). Again i ask the question - what made that change in decision process of people or a person? There has to be a reason for that other choice, or is it complete accident? Only the former would constitute for free will because randomness is not a conscious decision. And what would be that reason for a different choice?

Now let us imagine that the alter reality is identical to the current reality + one hour and that it doesn't really exist but is simply a simulator of this reality. Meaning that it is perfect prediction of this reality 1 hour ahead. Imagine that we can observe that alter reality on tv and look at ourselves in an hour and thus to some extent know our future. That would surely change how we would act.

Perhaps free will is simply a kind of butterfly effect of circumstances. There are soo many circumstances and so many factors for a decision that perhaps the brain can even come up to different decisions every time it is informed of identical circumstances.

In conclusion i think there is no will separate from circumstances. I think if we change circumstances, the decision will change but if they remain identical, the choice of each individual on the planet will also remain identical.